Skowronek’s model estimates a president’s capabilities base upon the political time in which they find themselves in relation to the predominant political structure of the time. This model is extremely effective, but has come under fire for seemingly writing-off the personal qualities of a president. This is a gross misrepresentation of Skowronek’s work and findings. Whilst a president’s personal abilities are integral to how they accomplish their goals and perform their job, what goals they are able to accomplish and the estimation of their performance are far more dependent upon their position within the political cycle of the rise, reign, decay, and fall of regimes.
What a president is able to accomplish rests upon the environment in which they find themselves in power. If a president comes to office in the midst of a disaster that challenges the established social and political order in ways it cannot match, that president will be capable of much more profound change through restructuring in order to meet the challenge they face than a president in better times. President’s seeking to change the social and political order in moments where it has not yet gone into wane end up ineffectual due to their place in history, as seen by many a president rendered moot by their placement in the cycle, such as Nixon, Andrew Johnson, or Wilson.
This is not to say that a president’s personality has absolutely no bearing on a situation. President’s are still obviously autonomous actors within their political contexts. The problem with Greenstein’s rebuttal is that it misreads Skowronek’s theory as robbing agency from a president in favor of the time they inhabit. In fact, a president and their personality have a dramatic effect on the cycle of political time, either lengthening or shortening the established regime based upon their efforts. It is simply that their efforts are situated in relation to the period that they are in that constrains what they are able to do. A president may take up the process of articulation with gusto or preside over the end of a regime with tremendous tumult, but, as Skowronek elucidates, the end result remains the same.